Tag: Existential risk

Mistakes in the moral mathematics of existential risk (Part 4: Optimistic population dynamics)
I expand on the moral importance of modeling population dynamics by studying an optimistic growth model due to Christian Tarsney. I show that even in optimistic models, incorporating population dynamics tends to substantially decrease the expected value of existential risk mitigation.

Mistakes in the moral mathematics of existential risk (Part 1: Introduction and cumulative risk)
Many authors give alarmingly high estimates of the value of existential risk mitigation. In this series based on my paper of the same name, I discuss three mistakes in the moral mathematics of existential risk that unduly inflate estimates of the value of existential risk mitigation.

Existential risk pessimism and the time of perils (Part 9: Objections and replies)
This post discusses five common objections to my paper and blog series “Existential risk pessimism and the time of perils”.

Academics review What we owe the future (Part 2: Chappell liked the book)
Continuing our focus on academic reviews of MacAskill’s What We Owe the Future, let’s look at a review by Richard Chappell. Chappell liked the book.

Existential risk pessimism and the time of perils (Part 6: Wisdom)
So far, we considered two arguments for the Time of Perils Hypothesis: an appeal to space settlement and an existential risk Kuznets curve. In this post, I look at a third argument, which appeals to wisdom.